ER Editor: It remains to be seen downstream what the net effects of this will be on the US economy and its citizens. But for now, a lot of American Twitter/X users are delighted by this type of story. We don’t expect Washington Post reporters to view this positively, by the way, hence an MSM alert for its treatment of the topic.
This appeared today on Zerohedge, an unrelated phenomenon but part of the overall picture going forward —
The US Fertility Rate Is At All-Time Lows
A reminder that ‘Biden’s’ programs to let in people during his term are likely illegal given that autopen situation, and that the real Biden was executed in 2020. The Washington Post neglects to mention all that, of course.
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U.S. could lose more immigrants than it gains for first time in 50 years
Net migration could turn negative, some economists warn, weighing on economic growth and fueling inflation.
ANDREW ACKERMAN and LAUREN KAORI GURLEY for WASHINGTON POST
For the first time in at least half a century, more people may leave the United States than arrive this year, an abrupt shift in immigration patterns with potentially significant implications for the U.S. economy.
(Illustration by José L. Soto/The Washington Post; iStock)
A net outflow of migrants could stoke inflation, a risk economists already expect from Trump’s tariff policies. It also could renew the type of labor shortages the country experienced during the pandemic. Longer term, it could even have implications for fiscal policy, with fewer immigrants paying taxes and supporting entitlement programs such as Social Security, said one of the economists, Wendy Edelberg.
“For the year as a whole, we think it’s likely [immigration] will be negative,” Edelberg said. “It certainly would be the first time in more than 50 years.”
Edelberg and her colleague Tara Watson at the center-left Brookings Institution are working with Stan Veuger of the conservative American Enterprise Institute on the paper, which is due out this month. Their projections point to an increased likelihood of negative immigration in 2025, compared with the economists’ last projections published in December.
White House spokesman Kush Desai said more than 1 in 10 young adults in America are neither employed nor in higher education or pursuing some sort of vocational training. “There is no shortage of American minds and hands to grow our labor force, and President Trump’s agenda to create jobs for American workers represents this Administration’s commitment to capitalizing on that untapped potential while delivering on our mandate to enforce our immigration laws,” he said in a statement.
Economists across the political spectrum expect the United States this year will experience the lowest immigration levels in decades, and some agree there’s a real possibility that migrant outflows will eclipse inflows. Migration levels last reached a longtime low during the 2008 financial crisis, which sparked a mass departure of Mexican immigrants.
“It’s not about deportations so much,” Veuger said. “It’s really just that inflows are down so much; not just at the southern border, but also through various legal programs.”
Already, the foreign-born workforce has shrunk by more than 1 million people since March, Labor Department data shows.
That’s a sharp reversal from a recent surge in immigration that in 2024 pushed the share of foreign-born workers in the U.S. labor force to the highest level on record, fueling the country’s economic strength after the pandemic.
The drop-off is poised to disproportionately hit sectors such as agriculture, construction and hospitality, which depend on immigrant workers.
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The scale of the potential exodus depends on the extent to which the Trump administration can deliver on its goal of removing 1 million migrants this year, including those who legally entered under Biden-era programs (ER: Again, were his programs legal in the first place?) but have since lost their status. A GOP-backed spending bill passed by the House last month and now pending in the Senate would allocate $150 billion for immigration enforcement to dramatically boost the scale and pace of the president’s mass deportation agenda.
Separately, the inflow of hundreds of thousands of international students could be blunted…
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Experts say net migration falling to zero and potentially going negative could mark a turning point in the country’s demographic and economic trajectory, and an abrupt shift from the nearly 3 million net migrants the United States gained just last year, according to the Census Bureau. Immigration could become a drag on the U.S. labor force for the first time in 50 years, experts say.
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In addition to sealing off the U.S.-Mexico border, the White House has revoked protections and work authorizations for more than half a million migrants from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua and Venezuela. The administration has also largely ended refugee admissions. And in recent weeks, officials have banned the entry of foreigners from a dozen countries. The administration has also imposed $3 billion in fines on undocumented people for failing to leave the country, while forgiving those fees and offering free flights and $1,000 to those who self-deport using a government app.
CONTINUE READING HERE
Featured image source: https://manhattan.institute/article/the-lifetime-fiscal-impact-of-immigrants
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Published to The Liberty Beacon from EuropeReloaded.com
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Headline… Immigrants or Illegals?