By TLB Contributor: Dave Hodges
Earlier today, The Common Sense Show issued an alert as to the possible use of multiple IED type of devices based upon the reports of a highly credible source(s). If such an even ever came to fruition, it could potentially paralyze this nation and bring the economy to a standstill. Subsequently, the grocery store shelves could be empty within two days and food riots would likely commence by sundown of the second day. Most preppers would be in danger. Local law enforcement would be overwhelmed. What would be your chances of survival? Well, recently, FEMA has conducted research studies on America’s level of preparedness and the news is not good.
The FEMA Preparedness Reports
In response to concerns about strengthening the nation’s ability to protect its population and way of life (i.e., security) and ability to adapt and recover from emergencies (i.e., resilience), the President of the United States issued Presidential Policy Directive 8: National Preparedness (PPD-8).
PPD-8 is a directive for the Department of Homeland Security to coordinate a comprehensive campaign to encourage Americans to practice national preparedness. Despite efforts by FEMA and other organizations to educate American citizens on becoming prepared, growth in specific preparedness behaviors has been limited. Government programs to this end are nearly nonexistent.
In 2012, FEMA surveyed American citizens regarding their individual level of preparedness. The news is not good. Here is a snapshot of the relevant results:
-Only 52% of American citizens surveyed by FEMA reported having supplies for a disaster. And most of these supplies are only enough to survive a weekend. This represented a decline from a reported 57% who reported having such supplies in 2009. The economy is taking its toll on preparedness.
-FEMA wanted to know if knowledge plays a role in preparedness? The answer is an unqualified, yes! CDC analyzed baseline data of knowledge and correlated it to actual preparedness.
- Compared with persons with basic preparedness knowledge, persons with advanced knowledge were more likely to have assembled an emergency kit (44% versus 17%), (1) .
- Persons identified as having strong beliefs in the effectiveness of disaster preparedness engaged in preparedness behaviors at levels 7%–30% higher than those with weaker preparedness beliefs (2).
- People with demonstrable knowledge about preparedness were more likely to have developed a written household disaster plan (9% versus 4%).
- Does educating the public make a difference in the level of preparedness exhibited by the public? The largest differences related to emergency kit items between those with advanced and basic knowledge were in possession of a multipurpose tool (83% versus 58%), an emergency blanket (67% versus 42%), and a first aid kit (84% versus 59%). Among surveyed Americans with strong preparedness beliefs, 26% possessed an emergency kit, compared with 14% of participants with weak preparedness beliefs (2).
- Are there demographic factors (e.g. age, gender, etc.) which could serve to predict high household preparedness? On average, prepared people are over 45 years of age, largely male and over half possess a master’s degree (2).
- Does attitude make a difference? The answer to the question is an unqualified yes. Self efficacy (i.e. confidence in one’s own ability to meet the challenges of self-sufficiency). has been discovered to be a key variable associated with preparedness. The greatest reported differences in reported possession of emergency kit items between participants with strong and weak self-efficacy beliefs were a 3-day food supply (59% versus 29%) and a 3-day water supply (46% versus 18%). In short, the data tells us that the more confidence one has in their own preparedness knowledge and skills, the more prepared they are likely to be prepared for the next disaster.
- What percentage of surveyed Americans are thought to be highly prepared to meet a disaster? FEMA estimates that number to be about 28%.
I took the FEMA research numbers on preparedness and made some very simple extrapolations of the data and applied them to a disaster scenario in which personal survival was at stake.
The most glaring statistic that jumps off the page is that only 28% of the households surveyed were equipped to survive at least three days of a resource shortage. This means that in a crisis, nearly 3 in 4 Americans would be rampaging on the streets within three days following an event, such as economic collapse. In such an event, there would be widespread failure to be able to deliver food to the grocery stores. Even if food could be delivered, grocery shopping would soon become an adventure, like it is in Venezuela.
The data leads one to make some very stark conclusions. Even if the prepared could form collectives for protection and the sharing of resources, they would often be outnumbered and quickly overwhelmed in a disaster scenario in which people would be forced to take to the streets in search of life-sustaining supplies.
If there is a silver lining in these reports, it centers on the fact that education about preparedness does make a difference on the level of self-sufficiency that can be achieved. Given the volatility of the current political, social and economic climate, organizations like FEMA, should have massive programs in place to teach self-sufficiency. However, you and I both know that the present administration would never allow this to happen because they are committed to the ideal that the state is God and we are all the property of the government. In order to maintain this leverage over the people, the masses need to be kept in a state of near helplessness. And we all know how well this is working.
- Fabrigar L, Petty R, Smith S, et al, 2006). Understanding knowledge effects on attitude-behavior consistency: the role of relevance, complexity, and amount of knowledge. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 90:556–7
- Glanz K, Rimer B, Viswanath K. Health behavior and health education: theory, research, and practice. 4th ed. San Francisco, CA: Josey-Bass; 2008.
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